Seasonality Snapshot

Financial SPDR (XLF)

Finance ETF · US · Index Funds & ETFs
✓ VERIFIED · 15YR REAL DATA
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
NEUTRAL SEASONALITY — August
Strongest Month
November
+4.61% avg · 80% win rate
Weakest Month
September
-1.36% avg · 33% win rate
MonthAvg ReturnWin Rate
January +1.43% 63%
February +1.12% 63%
March -1.17% 38%
April +1.15% 50%
May +0.14% 56%
June +0.60% 44%
July +2.78% 75%
August NOW -0.08% 56%
September -1.36% 33%
October +3.16% 73%
November +4.61% 80%
December +0.86% 73%
These figures are computed from 15 years of actual monthly closing prices. Past seasonal patterns are not a guarantee of future performance. See our methodology for how this is calculated, or visit the Academy to learn how to read seasonal data responsibly.

Financial SPDR seasonality — common questions

What is Financial SPDR's best month historically?
Historically, November has been Financial SPDR's strongest month, averaging +4.61% with a 80% win rate over 15 years of data. September has been the weakest at -1.36%.
Is Financial SPDR seasonal?
Financial SPDR shows a measurable seasonal pattern: its best and worst months differ by 5.97 percentage points on average. These figures come from 15 years of real monthly closing prices. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction.
How does Financial SPDR historically perform in August?
Financial SPDR is currently in August, which has historically averaged -0.08% with a 56% win rate. That is a historically neutral window.

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