Seasonality Snapshot

Financial SPDR (XLF)

Finance ETF · US · Index Funds & ETFs
✓ VERIFIED · 15YR REAL DATA
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
SEASONAL TAILWIND — October
Strongest Month
November
+4.61% avg · 80% win rate
Weakest Month
September
-1.72% avg · 31% win rate
MonthAvg ReturnWin Rate
January +1.43% 63%
February +1.12% 63%
March -1.17% 38%
April +1.15% 50%
May +0.14% 56%
June +0.60% 44%
July +2.78% 75%
August -0.09% 56%
September -1.72% 31%
October NOW +3.12% 75%
November +4.61% 80%
December +0.86% 73%
These figures are computed from 15 years of actual monthly closing prices. Past seasonal patterns are not a guarantee of future performance. See our methodology for how this is calculated, or visit the Academy to learn how to read seasonal data responsibly.

Financial SPDR seasonality — common questions

What is Financial SPDR's best month historically?
Historically, November has been Financial SPDR's strongest month, averaging +4.61% with a 80% win rate over 15 years of data. September has been the weakest at -1.72%.
Is Financial SPDR seasonal?
Financial SPDR shows a measurable seasonal pattern: its best and worst months differ by 6.33 percentage points on average. These figures come from 15 years of real monthly closing prices. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction.
How does Financial SPDR historically perform in October?
Financial SPDR is currently in October, which has historically averaged +3.12% with a 75% win rate. That has historically been a seasonally favourable window.

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