Seasonality Snapshot

NASDAQ Composite

Index · US · Index Funds & ETFs
✓ VERIFIED · 15YR REAL DATA
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
SEASONAL TAILWIND — October
Strongest Month
November
+3.22% avg · 87% win rate
Weakest Month
September
-1.18% avg · 50% win rate
MonthAvg ReturnWin Rate
January +2.01% 75%
February +0.88% 56%
March +0.06% 56%
April +1.69% 69%
May +2.39% 69%
June +1.67% 56%
July +2.90% 75%
August +0.82% 63%
September -1.18% 50%
October NOW +1.93% 63%
November +3.22% 87%
December -0.12% 60%
These figures are computed from 15 years of actual monthly closing prices. Past seasonal patterns are not a guarantee of future performance. See our methodology for how this is calculated, or visit the Academy to learn how to read seasonal data responsibly.

NASDAQ Composite seasonality — common questions

What is NASDAQ Composite's best month historically?
Historically, November has been NASDAQ Composite's strongest month, averaging +3.22% with a 87% win rate over 15 years of data. September has been the weakest at -1.18%.
Is NASDAQ Composite seasonal?
NASDAQ Composite shows a measurable seasonal pattern: its best and worst months differ by 4.40 percentage points on average. These figures come from 15 years of real monthly closing prices. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction.
How does NASDAQ Composite historically perform in October?
NASDAQ Composite is currently in October, which has historically averaged +1.93% with a 63% win rate. That has historically been a seasonally favourable window.

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