Seasonality Snapshot

SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ETF · US · Index Funds & ETFs
✓ VERIFIED · 15YR REAL DATA
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
SEASONAL TAILWIND — October
Strongest Month
November
+3.29% avg · 87% win rate
Weakest Month
September
-1.10% avg · 50% win rate
MonthAvg ReturnWin Rate
January +1.36% 63%
February +0.95% 56%
March +0.28% 69%
April +1.76% 75%
May +1.29% 81%
June +1.22% 69%
July +2.53% 88%
August +0.32% 63%
September -1.10% 50%
October NOW +2.16% 63%
November +3.29% 87%
December +0.31% 67%
These figures are computed from 15 years of actual monthly closing prices. Past seasonal patterns are not a guarantee of future performance. See our methodology for how this is calculated, or visit the Academy to learn how to read seasonal data responsibly.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF seasonality — common questions

What is SPDR S&P 500 ETF's best month historically?
Historically, November has been SPDR S&P 500 ETF's strongest month, averaging +3.29% with a 87% win rate over 15 years of data. September has been the weakest at -1.10%.
Is SPDR S&P 500 ETF seasonal?
SPDR S&P 500 ETF shows a measurable seasonal pattern: its best and worst months differ by 4.39 percentage points on average. These figures come from 15 years of real monthly closing prices. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction.
How does SPDR S&P 500 ETF historically perform in October?
SPDR S&P 500 ETF is currently in October, which has historically averaged +2.16% with a 63% win rate. That has historically been a seasonally favourable window.

Get the full analysis

Backtest this seasonal pattern, compare it against other assets, set alerts, and explore detrended & presidential-cycle views.

Open the Analyzer →
TimingAX is an independently operated service, not a registered investment adviser. This page is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.