Seasonality Snapshot

Chipotle (CMG)

Fast Casual · US · US Consumer & Retail
✓ VERIFIED · 15YR REAL DATA
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
SEASONAL HEADWIND — October
Strongest Month
January
+5.27% avg · 81% win rate
Weakest Month
October
-3.58% avg · 25% win rate
MonthAvg ReturnWin Rate
January +5.27% 81%
February +1.35% 50%
March +1.59% 63%
April +5.21% 56%
May +0.90% 44%
June +1.79% 69%
July +2.65% 69%
August +0.94% 50%
September -2.11% 38%
October NOW -3.58% 25%
November +4.22% 73%
December -0.14% 60%
These figures are computed from 15 years of actual monthly closing prices. Past seasonal patterns are not a guarantee of future performance. See our methodology for how this is calculated, or visit the Academy to learn how to read seasonal data responsibly.

Chipotle seasonality — common questions

What is Chipotle's best month historically?
Historically, January has been Chipotle's strongest month, averaging +5.27% with a 81% win rate over 15 years of data. October has been the weakest at -3.58%.
Is Chipotle seasonal?
Chipotle shows a measurable seasonal pattern: its best and worst months differ by 8.85 percentage points on average. These figures come from 15 years of real monthly closing prices. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction.
How does Chipotle historically perform in October?
Chipotle is currently in October, which has historically averaged -3.58% with a 25% win rate. That has historically been a seasonally weak window.

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