Seasonality Snapshot

McDonald's (MCD)

Fast Food · US · US Consumer & Retail
✓ VERIFIED · 15YR REAL DATA
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
NEUTRAL SEASONALITY — August
Strongest Month
November
+3.19% avg · 93% win rate
Weakest Month
May
-1.26% avg · 44% win rate
MonthAvg ReturnWin Rate
January +0.55% 44%
February +0.82% 63%
March +0.43% 63%
April +2.87% 75%
May -1.26% 44%
June -0.01% 31%
July +1.55% 75%
August NOW +1.61% 56%
September -0.08% 53%
October +1.71% 47%
November +3.19% 93%
December +0.76% 53%
These figures are computed from 15 years of actual monthly closing prices. Past seasonal patterns are not a guarantee of future performance. See our methodology for how this is calculated, or visit the Academy to learn how to read seasonal data responsibly.

McDonald's seasonality — common questions

What is McDonald's's best month historically?
Historically, November has been McDonald's's strongest month, averaging +3.19% with a 93% win rate over 15 years of data. May has been the weakest at -1.26%.
Is McDonald's seasonal?
McDonald's shows a measurable seasonal pattern: its best and worst months differ by 4.45 percentage points on average. These figures come from 15 years of real monthly closing prices. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction.
How does McDonald's historically perform in August?
McDonald's is currently in August, which has historically averaged +1.61% with a 56% win rate. That is a historically neutral window.

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