Seasonality Snapshot

Marathon Petroleum (MPC)

Refining · US · US Energy
✓ VERIFIED · 15YR REAL DATA
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
SEASONAL TAILWIND — July
Strongest Month
October
+5.54% avg · 80% win rate
Weakest Month
September
-1.86% avg · 40% win rate
MonthAvg ReturnWin Rate
January +4.34% 73%
February +3.20% 60%
March +2.71% 67%
April +1.01% 60%
May +0.91% 60%
June +1.29% 60%
July NOW +5.03% 94%
August +0.88% 60%
September -1.86% 40%
October +5.54% 80%
November +5.11% 53%
December -0.83% 47%
These figures are computed from 15 years of actual monthly closing prices. Past seasonal patterns are not a guarantee of future performance. See our methodology for how this is calculated, or visit the Academy to learn how to read seasonal data responsibly.

Marathon Petroleum seasonality — common questions

What is Marathon Petroleum's best month historically?
Historically, October has been Marathon Petroleum's strongest month, averaging +5.54% with a 80% win rate over 15 years of data. September has been the weakest at -1.86%.
Is Marathon Petroleum seasonal?
Marathon Petroleum shows a measurable seasonal pattern: its best and worst months differ by 7.40 percentage points on average. These figures come from 15 years of real monthly closing prices. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction.
How does Marathon Petroleum historically perform in July?
Marathon Petroleum is currently in July, which has historically averaged +5.03% with a 94% win rate. That has historically been a seasonally favourable window.

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